Sha Tin · 2023-02-05 · 15:06
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-05 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY FAT CAT, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by P C Ng, won by HD, with GALVANIC second and TIMESTORM third. The 4.4 favourite SUPER HIGHWAY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HAPPY FAT CAT PC 1.09.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 5 | 6.3 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | GALVANIC CP/XB A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 6 | 19.0 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | TIMESTORM XB/TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 9.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | HAPPY FOREVER XB-/V1/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 14 | 106.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER HIGHWAY H/V/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | FUN TOGETHER TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 37.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 9 | 92.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | MASTER OF LUCK H/TT S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 12 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | SPEEDY FORTUNE B1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 10 | 37.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 2 | 61.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 5 | TIER GOODY TT1 V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 4 | 100.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | CHILLI BABA B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 13 | 5.4 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHILLI BABA | 35.6% | 2.81 | 14 |
| 2 | 9 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 15.5% | 6.44 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | SMART LEADER | 7.9% | 12.71 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | FUN TOGETHER | 6.6% | 15.22 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 6.2% | 16.16 | 1 |
| 6 | 13 | MASTER OF LUCK | 6.1% | 16.45 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | TIMESTORM | 5.8% | 17.36 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | TELECOM MISSILE | 4.7% | 21.45 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | GALVANIC | 3.1% | 32.42 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | TIER GOODY | 2.2% | 45.39 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 2.0% | 51.03 | 11 |
| 12 | 14 | HAPPY FOREVER | 1.9% | 53.41 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 1.7% | 58.21 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | ROYAL AGILITY | 1.0% | 105.00 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 63
PLACE
3 49
4 21
7 17.5
QUINELLA
3,4 601.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 169
3,7 139
4,7 62
FORECAST
4,3 951
TIERCE
4,3,7 5,481
TRIO
3,4,7 774
FIRST 4
3,4,7,8 1,453
QUARTET
4,3,7,8 33,453
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 20.5
4TH DOUBLE
1,3,13/3 59.5
1,3,13/4 113