跑馬地 · 2023-03-22 · 21:46
第 7場
2023-03-22跑馬地第7場,Class 3,途程1200米,跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的LUCKY EIGHT勝出,贏出1/2。MAJESTIC KNIGHT獲得亞軍;STAR BRITE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LUCKY EIGHT CP- 1.09.08 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 11 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | STAR BRITE CP/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 7 | 51.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 8 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HERO STAR TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 4 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 5 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | GORGEOUS VITALITY C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 8.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | LUCKY FUN H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 6 | 54.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | TELECOM SPIRIT B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 99.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | ICE LEGEND BO/H/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 25.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 12 | 120.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | GOLDEN WARSTEED TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 9 | 115.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 22.4% | 4.47 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | LUCKY EIGHT | 21.7% | 4.61 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 15.7% | 6.36 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 9.9% | 10.07 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 7.8% | 12.86 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | ICE LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.51 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | HERO STAR | 6.7% | 14.84 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | STAR BRITE | 3.6% | 27.77 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.7% | 59.42 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY FUN | 1.7% | 60.04 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | GOLDEN WARSTEED | 1.2% | 85.71 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 0.7% | 137.25 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 25.5
PLACE
1 97.5
4 16.5
6 12.5
QUINELLA
4,6 64
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 365
1,6 187
4,6 28.5
FORECAST
6,4 135
TIERCE
6,4,1 3,224
TRIO
1,4,6 788
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 558
QUARTET
6,4,1,2 11,108
全部彩池(另 4 項)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,9/1,4,6 36,630
6TH DOUBLE
7/4 36
7/6 86.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,12/1,7,9/Any Combination 11,557