跑馬地 · 2023-03-22 · 22:53
第 9場
2023-03-22跑馬地第9場,Class 3,途程1200米,跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、F C Lor訓練的EASON勝出,贏出N。ALLGREEKTOME獲得亞軍;ACT OF FAITH獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門ALLGREEKTOME跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EASON V/TT 1.08.97 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 1 | 6.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | ALLGREEKTOME TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 10 | 2.5 | N |
| 3 | 11 | ACT OF FAITH K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 3 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | AMAZING ROCKY M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 4 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SHINING GEM B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 7 | 36.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | KILINDINI TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 2 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | HERE COMES TED B/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | PODIUM XB1 A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 8 | 63.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 6.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 11 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR-/TT1 K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 12 | 29.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ALLGREEKTOME | 24.2% | 4.13 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON | 16.8% | 5.95 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | ACT OF FAITH | 9.7% | 10.32 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 8.3% | 12.02 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 7.5% | 13.31 | 11 |
| 6 | 1 | EASON | 7.4% | 13.49 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | AMAZING ROCKY | 6.2% | 16.01 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 5.5% | 18.27 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | KILINDINI | 5.3% | 18.89 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | HERE COMES TED | 4.8% | 20.97 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | SHINING GEM | 2.8% | 36.34 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | PODIUM | 1.5% | 66.66 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 60.5
PLACE
1 21
10 15.5
11 22.5
QUINELLA
1,10 107
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 46.5
1,11 67.5
10,11 42.5
FORECAST
1,10 294
TIERCE
1,10,11 1,257
TRIO
1,10,11 196
FIRST 4
1,8,10,11 397
QUARTET
1,10,11,8 9,014
全部彩池(另 5 項)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 27
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/1,10,11 5,365
8TH DOUBLE
7/1 169.5
7/10 19.5
SIX UP
5,10/2,12/1,7/4,6/7,8/1,10 1,665
5/12/7/6/7/1 67,596
9 [J Richards] —
4 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
6/7/1 403
6/7/10 37