跑馬地 · 2023-03-22 · 20:16
第 4場
2023-03-22跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D J Hall訓練的RIGHT AS RAIN勝出，贏出N。HAPPY ANGEL獲得亞軍；PERFECT TO GREAT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門FLYING SILVER跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RIGHT AS RAIN 後段發力 B 1.49.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 5 | 7.4 | N |
| 2 | 10 | HAPPY ANGEL V-/B2/TT- A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 6.1 | N |
| 3 | 8 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 SR/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 8.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | REACH GOAL 後段發力 TT S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 7 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FLYING SILVER 後段發力 CP/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | BLASTOISE L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 6 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | LUCKY DIAMOND B/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 12 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | COPARTNER FIONN 後段發力 H-/V-/SR1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 11 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | SURREALISM 後段發力 B L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 10 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | PASSING FASHION XB/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 2 | 31.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | DEAR SIBLING 早段領放 B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 44.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CHATER PINS SR C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 9 | 11.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FLYING SILVER | 23.4% | 4.28 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 15.5% | 6.46 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 13.8% | 7.23 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | REACH GOAL | 12.9% | 7.76 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | HAPPY ANGEL | 12.7% | 7.86 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | CHATER PINS | 8.3% | 12.07 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | SURREALISM | 3.6% | 27.49 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | COPARTNER FIONN | 2.6% | 38.95 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | PASSING FASHION | 2.3% | 43.10 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 2.0% | 49.70 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | DEAR SIBLING | 1.6% | 64.17 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | BLASTOISE | 1.4% | 73.11 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 74
PLACE
5 23
8 26.5
10 21
QUINELLA
5,10 217
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 88
5,10 75.5
8,10 71.5
FORECAST
5,10 545
TIERCE
5,10,8 2,894
TRIO
5,8,10 460
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 415
QUARTET
5,10,8,9 10,930
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 22
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/5 184.5
5/10 37