Happy Valley · 2023-03-22 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B 1.49.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 5 | 7.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL V-/B2/TT- A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 6.1 | N |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly SR/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 8.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 7 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly CP/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | BLASTOISE L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 6 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND B/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 12 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | COPARTNER FIONN Closed strongly H-/V-/SR1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 11 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 10 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | PASSING FASHION XB/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 2 | 31.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | DEAR SIBLING Led early B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 44.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CHATER PINS SR C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 9 | 11.0 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-22 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. RIGHT AS RAIN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with HAPPY ANGEL second and PERFECT TO GREAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite FLYING SILVER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLYING SILVER | 23.4% | 4.28 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 15.5% | 6.46 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 13.8% | 7.23 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | REACH GOAL | 12.9% | 7.76 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL | 12.7% | 7.86 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 8.3% | 12.07 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | SURREALISM | 3.6% | 27.49 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | COPARTNER FIONN | 2.6% | 38.95 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | PASSING FASHION | 2.3% | 43.10 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 2.0% | 49.70 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | DEAR SIBLING | 1.6% | 64.17 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 1.4% | 73.11 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 74
PLACE
5 23
8 26.5
10 21
QUINELLA
5,10 217
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 88
5,10 75.5
8,10 71.5
FORECAST
5,10 545
TIERCE
5,10,8 2,894
TRIO
5,8,10 460
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 415
QUARTET
5,10,8,9 10,930
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 22
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/5 184.5
5/10 37