Happy Valley · 2023-03-22 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SIXTH GENERATION, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by J Richards, won by 1/2, with PACKING SUCCEEDER second and V CHEVALIERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly H/TT 1.39.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 5 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | PACKING SUCCEEDER Closed strongly Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 10 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 6 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | WORLD FAMOUS Led early B-/V2 H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 3 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 9.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | VIVA POPCORN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | ENSURED Closed strongly B H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 4 | 5.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | CORDYCEPS ONE B/H2 K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 7 | 5.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | CHARMING STEED Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | EXUBERANT B2/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 11 | 43.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | KA YING GLORIOUS CP-/B1 M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 1 | 102.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | YEABOI B C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 8 | 57.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PACKING SUCCEEDER | 20.3% | 4.92 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | SIXTH GENERATION | 18.7% | 5.34 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | ENSURED | 13.4% | 7.45 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | V CHEVALIERS | 9.3% | 10.81 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 9.1% | 10.96 | 8 |
| 6 | 11 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 8.1% | 12.30 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | VIVA POPCORN | 5.7% | 17.49 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | EXUBERANT | 4.9% | 20.44 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | CHARMING STEED | 3.7% | 26.82 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | WORLD FAMOUS | 3.6% | 27.73 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | YEABOI | 2.3% | 44.29 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | KA YING GLORIOUS | 0.8% | 120.43 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 34.5
PLACE
1 20
7 15
9 32
QUINELLA
1,7 117
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 50.5
1,9 127
7,9 80.5
FORECAST
7,1 176
TIERCE
7,1,9 1,490
TRIO
1,7,9 462
FIRST 4
1,4,7,9 1,301
QUARTET
7,1,9,4 19,304
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21.5
5TH DOUBLE
12/1 88.5
12/7 564