Happy Valley · 2023-03-22 · 18:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-22 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TO INFINITY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by J Richards, won by SH, with JOLLY HONOUR second and FAITHFUL TRINITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite HO HO JUNIOR finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 9 | 76.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.9 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 8.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FIERY FLYING Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 4.9 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | VALHALLA B/XB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 6.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | HO HO JUNIOR C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 1 | 4.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD B2 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | FORTUNE WINNER Closed strongly B-/H-/XB1/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 12 | 82.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | OUR CREED V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 7.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | WIN WIN CHARITY B/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 4 | 45.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO Led early B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 8 | 24.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | JOLLY HONOUR | 17.6% | 5.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | VALHALLA | 14.1% | 7.09 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | FIERY FLYING | 12.4% | 8.09 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | HO HO JUNIOR | 12.2% | 8.21 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | OUR CREED | 10.8% | 9.23 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 7.6% | 13.10 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 7.3% | 13.68 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 6.5% | 15.41 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 5.3% | 18.82 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | TO INFINITY | 2.7% | 37.65 | 1 |
| 11 | 8 | WIN WIN CHARITY | 2.0% | 49.90 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | FORTUNE WINNER | 1.5% | 64.61 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 769.5
PLACE
6 182
7 19
10 58.5
QUINELLA
6,7 2,660.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 746
6,10 1,582.5
7,10 173.5
FORECAST
6,7 4,926
TIERCE
6,7,10 96,130
TRIO
6,7,10 12,954
FIRST 4
5,6,7,10 18,914
QUARTET
6,7,10,5 815,781
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 28
A1 —