Happy Valley · 2023-03-22 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.9 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 8.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FIERY FLYING Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 4.9 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | VALHALLA B/XB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 6.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HO HO JUNIOR C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 1 | 4.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD B2 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER Closed strongly B-/H-/XB1/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 12 | 82.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | OUR CREED V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 7.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | WIN WIN CHARITY B/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 4 | 45.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO Led early B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 8 | 24.0 | 15 |
| — | 0 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | — | 76.0 | SH |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-22 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. JOLLY HONOUR, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with FAITHFUL TRINITY second and GLORIOUS LOVER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite HO HO JUNIOR finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 17.6% | 5.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | VALHALLA | 14.1% | 7.09 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | FIERY FLYING | 12.4% | 8.09 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | HO HO JUNIOR | 12.2% | 8.21 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | OUR CREED | 10.8% | 9.23 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 7.6% | 13.10 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 7.3% | 13.68 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 6.5% | 15.41 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 5.3% | 18.82 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | TO INFINITY | 2.7% | 37.65 | — |
| 11 | 0 | WIN WIN CHARITY | 2.0% | 49.90 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER | 1.5% | 64.61 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 769.5
PLACE
6 182
7 19
10 58.5
QUINELLA
6,7 2,660.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 746
6,10 1,582.5
7,10 173.5
FORECAST
6,7 4,926
TIERCE
6,7,10 96,130
TRIO
6,7,10 12,954
FIRST 4
5,6,7,10 18,914
QUARTET
6,7,10,5 815,781
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 28
A1 —
A2 —