Happy Valley · 2023-03-22 · 20:46
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MY INTELLIGENT, ridden by H T Mo and trained by L Ho, won by N, with VICTORY SCHOLARS second and WIND SPEEDER third. The 2.3 favourite FLYING ON THE TURF finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT V2/TT 1.09.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 9 | 7.5 | N |
| 3 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 7 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | TIMESTORM XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 2.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LYRICAL MOTION TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | NOBLE ONE TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 9.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | CRAIG'S MASTER SR/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 77.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | REGENCY STAR CP M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | BIRDSVILLE SR/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 35.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | FIRE BALL A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 11 | 32.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | DINOSAUR BOY B1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 33.0 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 29.2% | 3.42 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | TIMESTORM | 11.7% | 8.52 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 11.1% | 9.03 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | NOBLE ONE | 10.2% | 9.80 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | LYRICAL MOTION | 9.1% | 10.94 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER | 8.9% | 11.20 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | BIRDSVILLE | 4.7% | 21.18 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | DINOSAUR BOY | 4.2% | 23.53 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | REGENCY STAR | 3.7% | 26.71 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT | 3.6% | 27.53 | 1 |
| 11 | 10 | FIRE BALL | 2.2% | 44.87 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 1.1% | 91.63 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 133.5
PLACE
2 25
3 28
12 32
QUINELLA
2,12 407.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 113.5
2,12 136
3,12 213
FORECAST
12,2 841
TIERCE
12,2,3 11,130
TRIO
2,3,12 1,763
FIRST 4
2,3,6,12 1,473
QUARTET
12,2,3,6 41,925
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,10/2,3,12 105,738
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 29.5
4TH DOUBLE
5/2 114
5/12 978.5