跑馬地 · 2023-03-22 · 20:46
第 5場
2023-03-22跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H T Mo策騎、L Ho訓練的MY INTELLIGENT勝出，贏出N。VICTORY SCHOLARS獲得亞軍；WIND SPEEDER獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門FLYING ON THE TURF跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT V2/TT 1.09.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 9 | 7.5 | N |
| 3 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 7 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | TIMESTORM XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 2.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LYRICAL MOTION TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | NOBLE ONE TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 9.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | CRAIG'S MASTER SR/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 77.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | REGENCY STAR CP M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | BIRDSVILLE SR/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 35.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | FIRE BALL A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 11 | 32.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | DINOSAUR BOY B1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 33.0 | 14-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 29.2% | 3.42 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | TIMESTORM | 11.7% | 8.52 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 11.1% | 9.03 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | NOBLE ONE | 10.2% | 9.80 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | LYRICAL MOTION | 9.1% | 10.94 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER | 8.9% | 11.20 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | BIRDSVILLE | 4.7% | 21.18 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | DINOSAUR BOY | 4.2% | 23.53 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | REGENCY STAR | 3.7% | 26.71 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT | 3.6% | 27.53 | 1 |
| 11 | 10 | FIRE BALL | 2.2% | 44.87 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 1.1% | 91.63 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 133.5
PLACE
2 25
3 28
12 32
QUINELLA
2,12 407.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 113.5
2,12 136
3,12 213
FORECAST
12,2 841
TIERCE
12,2,3 11,130
TRIO
2,3,12 1,763
FIRST 4
2,3,6,12 1,473
QUARTET
12,2,3,6 41,925
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,10/2,3,12 105,738
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 29.5
4TH DOUBLE
5/2 114
5/12 978.5