Happy Valley · 2023-03-22 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ONE FOR ALL, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by R Gibson, won by HD, with HARMONY N HOME second and RIGHTEOUS ARION third. The 2.2 favourite RIGHTEOUS ARION finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ONE FOR ALL B/TT 1.09.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 9 | 32.0 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 3.1 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | SPICY SO SMART H/XB Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 4 | 59.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | FLYING SWORD B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | HAPPY TRIO B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | BEAUTY MISSION CP-/SR-/B1/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 5 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | COMPASSION SUPER TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 10 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | NOBLE ACE TT1 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 30.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | JAZZ WITH DRAGON M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 86.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | SPARKLING KNIGHT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 12 | 57.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | AMAZING TRAVIS H/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 8 | 90.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 29.5% | 3.39 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME | 22.0% | 4.54 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | COMPASSION SUPER | 11.4% | 8.77 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | BEAUTY MISSION | 9.8% | 10.22 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY TRIO | 9.1% | 10.94 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | ONE FOR ALL | 4.9% | 20.27 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 4.9% | 20.36 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | NOBLE ACE | 2.7% | 36.73 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | FLYING SWORD | 2.6% | 37.82 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | AMAZING TRAVIS | 1.3% | 78.11 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | SPICY SO SMART | 0.9% | 114.98 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | JAZZ WITH DRAGON | 0.7% | 135.87 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 321.5
PLACE
2 11
3 15
12 62.5
QUINELLA
3,12 554
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 17.5
2,12 127
3,12 130
FORECAST
12,3 1,343
TIERCE
12,3,2 4,701
TRIO
2,3,12 323
FIRST 4
2,3,9,12 2,438
QUARTET
12,3,2,9 92,688
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/3 592.5
6/12 16,164.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 59.5