Happy Valley · 2023-03-22 · 22:53
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-22 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EASON, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with ALLGREEKTOME second and ACT OF FAITH third. The 2.5 favourite ALLGREEKTOME finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EASON V/TT 1.08.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 1 | 6.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | ALLGREEKTOME TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 10 | 2.5 | N |
| 3 | 11 | ACT OF FAITH K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 3 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | AMAZING ROCKY M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 4 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SHINING GEM B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 7 | 36.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | KILINDINI TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 2 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | HERE COMES TED B/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | PODIUM XB1 A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 8 | 63.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 6.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 11 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR-/TT1 K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 12 | 29.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ALLGREEKTOME | 24.2% | 4.13 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON | 16.8% | 5.95 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | ACT OF FAITH | 9.7% | 10.32 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 8.3% | 12.02 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 7.5% | 13.31 | 11 |
| 6 | 1 | EASON | 7.4% | 13.49 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | AMAZING ROCKY | 6.2% | 16.01 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 5.5% | 18.27 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | KILINDINI | 5.3% | 18.89 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | HERE COMES TED | 4.8% | 20.97 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | SHINING GEM | 2.8% | 36.34 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | PODIUM | 1.5% | 66.66 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 60.5
PLACE
1 21
10 15.5
11 22.5
QUINELLA
1,10 107
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 46.5
1,11 67.5
10,11 42.5
FORECAST
1,10 294
TIERCE
1,10,11 1,257
TRIO
1,10,11 196
FIRST 4
1,8,10,11 397
QUARTET
1,10,11,8 9,014
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 27
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/1,10,11 5,365
8TH DOUBLE
7/1 169.5
7/10 19.5
SIX UP
5,10/2,12/1,7/4,6/7,8/1,10 1,665
5/12/7/6/7/1 67,596
9 [J Richards] —
4 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
6/7/1 403
6/7/10 37