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Happy Valley · 2023-03-22 · 22:53

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.97
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 EASON V/TT 1.08.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor 1 6.0 N
2 0 ALLGREEKTOME TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes 10 2.5 N
3 0 ACT OF FAITH K Teetan · J Size 5 7.7 1-1/4
4 0 COMPASSION SPIRIT B S De Sousa · K L Man 3 12.0 2-3/4
5 0 AMAZING ROCKY M F Poon · T P Yung 4 24.0 3-1/4
6 0 SHINING GEM B R Maia · P F Yiu 7 36.0 3-1/2
7 0 KILINDINI TT L Hewitson · A T Millard 2 16.0 3-1/2
8 0 HERE COMES TED B/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall 6 23.0 3-3/4
10 0 NORDIC DRAGON TT H Bowman · C S Shum 9 6.1 4-1/2
11 0 EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H Z Purton · D J Whyte 11 15.0 6-3/4
— 0 PODIUM XB1 A Hamelin · K W Lui — 63.0 4
— 0 OUR LUCKY GLORY SR-/TT1 K C Leung · J Richards — 29.0 7

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-22 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EASON, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with ALLGREEKTOME second and ACT OF FAITH third. The 2.5 favourite ALLGREEKTOME finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EASON—2. ALLGREEKTOME+0.05L3. ACT OF FAITH+1.25L4. COMPASSION SPIRIT+2.75L5. AMAZING ROCKY+3.25L6. SHINING GEM+3.5L7. KILINDINI+3.5L8. HERE COMES TED+3.75L10. NORDIC DRAGON+4.5L11. EQUALETTA BLITZ+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick ALLGREEKTOME (24.2%) finished 2nd — the winner EASON was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ALLGREEKTOME 24.2% 4.13 2
2 0 NORDIC DRAGON 16.8% 5.95 10
3 0 ACT OF FAITH 9.7% 10.32 3
4 0 COMPASSION SPIRIT 8.3% 12.02 4
5 0 EQUALETTA BLITZ 7.5% 13.31 11
6 0 EASON 7.4% 13.49 1
7 0 AMAZING ROCKY 6.2% 16.01 5
8 0 OUR LUCKY GLORY 5.5% 18.27 —
9 0 KILINDINI 5.3% 18.89 7
10 0 HERE COMES TED 4.8% 20.97 8
11 0 SHINING GEM 2.8% 36.34 6
12 0 PODIUM 1.5% 66.66 —
ALLGREEKTOMENORDIC DRAGONACT OF FAITHCOMPASSION SPIRITEQUALETTA BLITZEASON — wonAMAZING ROCKYOUR LUCKY GLORYKILINDINIHERE COMES TEDSHINING GEMPODIUM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 60.5

PLACE

1 21

10 15.5

11 22.5

QUINELLA

1,10 107

QUINELLA PLACE

1,10 46.5

1,11 67.5

10,11 42.5

FORECAST

1,10 294

TIERCE

1,10,11 1,257

TRIO

1,10,11 196

FIRST 4

1,8,10,11 397

QUARTET

1,10,11,8 9,014

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 27

A3 —

A1 —

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

7,8,9/1,10,11 5,365

8TH DOUBLE

7/1 169.5

7/10 19.5

SIX UP

5,10/2,12/1,7/4,6/7,8/1,10 1,665

5/12/7/6/7/1 67,596

4 [K Teetan] —

9 [J Richards] —

TREBLE

6/7/1 403

6/7/10 37