Happy Valley · 2023-03-22 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-22 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY EIGHT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with MAJESTIC KNIGHT second and STAR BRITE third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LUCKY EIGHT CP- 1.09.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 11 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | STAR BRITE CP/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 7 | 51.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 8 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HERO STAR TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 4 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 5 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | GORGEOUS VITALITY C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 8.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | LUCKY FUN H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 6 | 54.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | TELECOM SPIRIT B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 99.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | ICE LEGEND BO/H/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 25.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 12 | 120.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | GOLDEN WARSTEED TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 9 | 115.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 22.4% | 4.47 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | LUCKY EIGHT | 21.7% | 4.61 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 15.7% | 6.36 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 9.9% | 10.07 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 7.8% | 12.86 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | ICE LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.51 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | HERO STAR | 6.7% | 14.84 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | STAR BRITE | 3.6% | 27.77 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.7% | 59.42 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY FUN | 1.7% | 60.04 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | GOLDEN WARSTEED | 1.2% | 85.71 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 0.7% | 137.25 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 25.5
PLACE
1 97.5
4 16.5
6 12.5
QUINELLA
4,6 64
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 365
1,6 187
4,6 28.5
FORECAST
6,4 135
TIERCE
6,4,1 3,224
TRIO
1,4,6 788
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 558
QUARTET
6,4,1,2 11,108
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,9/1,4,6 36,630
6TH DOUBLE
7/4 36
7/6 86.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,12/1,7,9/Any Combination 11,557