Happy Valley · 2023-03-22 · 19:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-22 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. ATOMIC ENERGY, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with MOMENTUM GALAXY second and MR MAJESTIC third. The 2.4 favourite KOWLOON EAST STAR finished 12th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ATOMIC ENERGY TT 0.57.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.1 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 7 | 20.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | MR MAJESTIC H-/SR-/B1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | ACE TALENT H/PC1/TT S De Sousa · C Fownes | S De Sousa | C Fownes | 3 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | KING INVINCIBLE TT1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | ALWAYS FLUKE C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 6 | 37.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 8 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 9 | 8.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | GOOD VIEW GLORY C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 12 | 132.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | GLORY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | JAZZ CLUB B K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 4 | 90.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 2.4 | 4-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SPLENDID FEELING A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 19.3% | 5.17 | 12 |
| 2 | 10 | GLORY BO BO | 16.5% | 6.06 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | ATOMIC ENERGY | 15.2% | 6.59 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | ACE TALENT | 10.8% | 9.28 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | KING INVINCIBLE | 10.2% | 9.78 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 7.9% | 12.72 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 6.0% | 16.64 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 6.0% | 16.76 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | MR MAJESTIC | 3.2% | 31.50 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | SUPER COMMANDER | 2.4% | 41.25 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | JAZZ CLUB | 1.7% | 60.00 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 0.9% | 113.18 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 41
PLACE
3 47
5 16
9 41
QUINELLA
5,9 399.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 118.5
3,9 315
5,9 119.5
FORECAST
5,9 535
TIERCE
5,9,3 5,627
TRIO
3,5,9 1,555
FIRST 4
3,5,9,12 1,840
QUARTET
5,9,3,12 30,403
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,12/3,5,9 12,226
2ND DOUBLE
12/5 1,827
12/9 776.5
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A3 —
A2 —