跑馬地 · 2023-04-26 · 22:53
第 9場
2023-04-26跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、J Size訓練的HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE勝出，贏出N。ROCK YA HEART獲得亞軍；ATOMIC FORCE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE 1.08.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 1.7 | N |
| 2 | 10 | ROCK YA HEART TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 1 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | ATOMIC FORCE H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 3 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | EASON V/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | HARMONY AND RICH B1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 4 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | COMPUTER PATCH B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | HANDSOME BO BO TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 12 | 32.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | FAMILY FOLKS B S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 11 | 43.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 35.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | ASTROLOGER SR C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 7 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 36.9% | 2.71 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | ROCK YA HEART | 13.2% | 7.55 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | EASON | 8.9% | 11.24 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | ATOMIC FORCE | 7.3% | 13.78 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | HANDSOME BO BO | 6.7% | 14.94 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 5.2% | 19.36 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | GRATEFUL HEART | 4.5% | 22.19 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | CAMPIONE | 4.4% | 22.94 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | ASTROLOGER | 4.3% | 23.25 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | COMPUTER PATCH | 3.0% | 33.25 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | FAMILY FOLKS | 3.0% | 33.74 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | HARMONY AND RICH | 2.7% | 36.45 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 17
PLACE
7 10.5
10 21.5
11 30.5
QUINELLA
7,10 64.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 29.5
7,11 39.5
10,11 101
FORECAST
7,10 92
TIERCE
7,10,11 491
TRIO
7,10,11 111
FIRST 4
7,9,10,11 225
QUARTET
7,10,11,9 2,133
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
6/6/7 455
6/6/10 374
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14.5
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,7/7,10,11 32,874
8TH DOUBLE
6/7 110
6/10 105.5
SIX UP
2,4/4,10/3,6/5,6/6,7/7,10 1,494
2/10/3/6/6/7 21,575
4 [C Fownes] —
2 [K Teetan] —