跑馬地 · 2023-04-26 · 22:18
第 8場
2023-04-26跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、D A Hayes訓練的HARMONY N BLESSED勝出，贏出1/2。SEASONS WIT獲得亞軍；LIGHTNING STORM獲得季軍。4.5倍大熱門HARMONY FIRE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HARMONY N BLESSED B2/TT 0.56.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 4 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | SEASONS WIT B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | LIGHTNING STORM TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | SPECIAL M PC/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 5.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FLYING DRAGON XB/V1 C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 66.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | GORGEOUS VITALITY S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 11 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | MARK THE MOMENT V/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | LUCKY FUN V2 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 7 | 70.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | THE RUNNER V H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 2 | 40.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SEASONS WIT | 20.1% | 4.98 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | MARK THE MOMENT | 19.1% | 5.24 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 16.7% | 5.98 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | SPECIAL M | 10.0% | 9.95 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | LIGHTNING STORM | 9.1% | 11.03 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 6.8% | 14.62 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 6.5% | 15.32 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | HARMONY FIRE | 4.2% | 23.81 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | THE RUNNER | 3.6% | 28.10 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | FLYING DRAGON | 2.6% | 38.90 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | LUCKY FUN | 1.3% | 76.05 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 56.5
PLACE
5 49.5
6 21
7 19
QUINELLA
6,7 165
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 183.5
5,7 119
6,7 64.5
FORECAST
6,7 357
TIERCE
6,7,5 5,878
TRIO
5,6,7 732
FIRST 4
1,5,6,7 779
QUARTET
6,7,5,1 26,781
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 28.5
7TH DOUBLE
6/6 186.5
6/7 17.5