Happy Valley · 2023-04-26 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | SEASONS WIT B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | LIGHTNING STORM TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SPECIAL M PC/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 5.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FLYING DRAGON XB/V1 C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 66.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GORGEOUS VITALITY S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 11 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MARK THE MOMENT V/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY FUN V2 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 7 | 70.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | THE RUNNER V H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 2 | 40.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | HARMONY N BLESSED B2/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | — | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| — | 0 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | — | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-26 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SEASONS WIT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 1/2, with LIGHTNING STORM second and CALIFORNIA DEEPLY third. The 4.5 favourite HARMONY FIRE did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SEASONS WIT | 20.1% | 4.98 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | MARK THE MOMENT | 19.1% | 5.24 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 16.7% | 5.98 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SPECIAL M | 10.0% | 9.95 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | LIGHTNING STORM | 9.1% | 11.03 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 6.8% | 14.62 | — |
| 7 | 0 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 6.5% | 15.32 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | HARMONY FIRE | 4.2% | 23.81 | — |
| 9 | 0 | THE RUNNER | 3.6% | 28.10 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | FLYING DRAGON | 2.6% | 38.90 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY FUN | 1.3% | 76.05 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 56.5
PLACE
5 49.5
6 21
7 19
QUINELLA
6,7 165
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 183.5
5,7 119
6,7 64.5
FORECAST
6,7 357
TIERCE
6,7,5 5,878
TRIO
5,6,7 732
FIRST 4
1,5,6,7 779
QUARTET
6,7,5,1 26,781
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 28.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
6/6 186.5
6/7 17.5