Happy Valley · 2023-04-26 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ACE TALENT H/PC/TT 0.56.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 5 | 5.9 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 7 | 9.3 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 2 | 24.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | KING INVINCIBLE TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 12 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PACHISI XB-/CP/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MR MAJESTIC B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TALENTS SUPREMO XB H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | 4 | 45.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING ROCKY C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 11 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | GENEROUS FRIEND B/TT1 V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 3 | 122.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-26 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. ACE TALENT, ridden by A Badel and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with SUPER AXIOM second and OVERSUBSCRIBED third. The 4.7 favourite CIRCUIT SEVEN finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 16.5% | 6.05 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | PACHISI | 15.2% | 6.58 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | KING INVINCIBLE | 12.5% | 8.03 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 10.0% | 9.96 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | ACE TALENT | 9.4% | 10.62 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 7.8% | 12.88 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING ROCKY | 7.6% | 13.16 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | MR MAJESTIC | 7.4% | 13.50 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 6.4% | 15.52 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 4.2% | 23.71 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER AXIOM | 2.0% | 50.51 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | GENEROUS FRIEND | 1.0% | 104.31 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 59.5
PLACE
4 41
9 48
10 20
QUINELLA
4,10 327.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 337.5
4,10 122
9,10 165.5
FORECAST
10,4 813
TIERCE
10,4,9 9,684
TRIO
4,9,10 2,423
FIRST 4
4,7,9,10 2,420
QUARTET
10,4,9,7 51,361
All pools (4 more)
1ST TREBLE
6/2/4 398
6/2/10 1,697
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,9/4,9,10 122,987
3 PICK 1
A2 21.5
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/4 100.5
2/10 207.5