Happy Valley · 2023-04-26 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 5.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | RED IMPACT Closed strongly V-/XB/B2/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 23.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER Closed strongly V C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 7 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BARON ZEE Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 4 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B2 S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 6 | 8.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | MISTER ARM Led early H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 34.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 11 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | THETA HEDGE H-/B2/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 1 | 3.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 8 | 6.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | EUROMISSILE B-/XB M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 2 | 14.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | — | 18.0 | 1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-26 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HANG'S CHOICE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with RED IMPACT second and ANGELS HUNTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite THETA HEDGE finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THETA HEDGE | 22.1% | 4.53 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE | 12.9% | 7.74 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 12.5% | 8.01 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 10.3% | 9.74 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | EUROMISSILE | 7.9% | 12.61 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 6.4% | 15.63 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | RED IMPACT | 6.3% | 15.90 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | MISTER ARM | 5.4% | 18.41 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER | 4.7% | 21.10 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | TO INFINITY | 4.6% | 21.70 | — |
| 11 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 4.1% | 24.59 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | BARON ZEE | 2.8% | 35.77 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 182.5
PLACE
2 54
5 65
10 17
QUINELLA
2,10 454.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 562
2,10 150
5,10 186.5
FORECAST
2,10 975
TIERCE
2,10,5 15,351
TRIO
2,5,10 2,956
FIRST 4
2,5,8,10 8,094
QUARTET
2,10,5,8 142,795
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 26.5