Happy Valley · 2023-04-26 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-26 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SNOWALOT, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1, with MELBOURNE HALL second and KING ECCELLENTE third. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SNOWALOT B 1.09.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 3.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE CP/H/XB H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | KASI FARASI B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | STOICISM TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 8 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | FLAMING PASSION H/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GET THE MONIES XB1 M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 72.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | MR VALIANT H/XB S De Sousa · L Ho | S De Sousa | L Ho | 1 | 3.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | CRAIG'S MASTER SR/H1/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 120.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | SUPER ELITE TT1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | LUCKY QUALITY K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | BEAUTY TURN SR-/CP1/TT1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 7.4 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SNOWALOT | 19.1% | 5.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | MR VALIANT | 18.5% | 5.42 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE | 12.1% | 8.28 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | KASI FARASI | 11.8% | 8.50 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | MELBOURNE HALL | 9.1% | 10.93 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | FLAMING PASSION | 5.7% | 17.48 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER ELITE | 5.3% | 18.69 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | GET THE MONIES | 5.3% | 18.99 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | BEAUTY TURN | 4.6% | 21.57 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | STOICISM | 4.3% | 23.44 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | LUCKY QUALITY | 2.2% | 44.64 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 1.9% | 51.56 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 36.5
PLACE
3 22
8 29.5
9 15
QUINELLA
8,9 122.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 106.5
3,9 52.5
8,9 44.5
FORECAST
9,8 134
TIERCE
9,8,3 1,366
TRIO
3,8,9 326
FIRST 4
3,5,8,9 405
QUARTET
9,8,3,5 7,718
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/8 278.5
2/9 988
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19
A2 —