Happy Valley · 2023-04-26 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-26 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SON PAK FU, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 3, with HAMERON second and JUNEAU FLASH third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SON PAK FU BO 1.09.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 2.0 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | HAMERON L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 2 | 30.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | JUNEAU FLASH PC1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 7.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | JUMBO FORTUNE XB C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 5 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | COBHFIELD CP-/B1 L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 6 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT S De Sousa · J Richards | S De Sousa | J Richards | 3 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | POWER KOEPP E Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 12 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | TELECOM SPIRIT B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 166.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | JUMBO LEGEND H/PC/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 7.3 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | METRO WARRIOR B H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 10 | 23.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 14.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 8 | 68.0 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SON PAK FU | 23.8% | 4.21 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | JUNEAU FLASH | 14.9% | 6.73 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | JUMBO LEGEND | 12.5% | 8.02 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | POWER KOEPP | 10.3% | 9.68 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 9.5% | 10.54 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 7.6% | 13.24 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | METRO WARRIOR | 6.6% | 15.17 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY | 5.0% | 19.87 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | COBHFIELD | 5.0% | 20.08 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | HAMERON | 2.8% | 36.36 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 1.3% | 74.29 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 0.8% | 119.87 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 20
PLACE
5 64
6 13
11 22.5
QUINELLA
5,6 289.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 102
5,11 302.5
6,11 42.5
FORECAST
6,5 438
TIERCE
6,5,11 3,591
TRIO
5,6,11 669
FIRST 4
2,5,6,11 1,180
QUARTET
6,5,11,2 17,103
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,9/5,6,11 49,697
6TH DOUBLE
3/5 309
3/6 90
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,9,10/3,6,9/Any Combination 8,018