Happy Valley · 2023-04-26 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT 1.40.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly H/PC/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 6 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 86.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 5 | 35.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GANG OF BROTHERS CP/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | RIVER VIEWS Led early L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 1 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY B/H/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 3 | 36.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS B/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 66.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | — | 3.2 | 1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-26 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. INVINCIBLE MISSILE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with RIGHT HONOURABLE second and SUPER BUDDY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite ROMANTIC LAOS did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 25.4% | 3.94 | — |
| 2 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 17.4% | 5.73 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 11.8% | 8.47 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 9.1% | 10.99 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | RIVER VIEWS | 6.6% | 15.09 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 6.1% | 16.36 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 5.7% | 17.55 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 4.4% | 22.71 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 4.3% | 23.13 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 4.2% | 23.99 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 3.4% | 29.05 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY | 1.5% | 66.67 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 42.5
PLACE
2 15.5
4 14.5
9 49.5
QUINELLA
2,4 83.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 39
2,9 127
4,9 165
FORECAST
2,4 174
TIERCE
2,4,9 2,080
TRIO
2,4,9 576
FIRST 4
2,4,9,11 5,678
QUARTET
2,4,9,11 54,368
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
6/2 229
6/4 26