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Happy Valley · 2023-04-26 · 19:46

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-26 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TELECOM SPEED, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 3/4, with CHEONG FAT second and ABOVE ALL third. The 2.4 favourite STORMTROUPER finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.09.87
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 TELECOM SPEED 1.09.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui 2 4.7 3/4
2 10 CHEONG FAT H/PC A Hamelin · L Ho 3 10.0 3/4
3 1 ABOVE ALL H/XB R Maia · A T Millard 5 28.0 3/4
4 11 PRECISION GOAL P/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung 9 130.0 3/4
5 4 STORMTROUPER E/TT Z Purton · C H Yip 1 2.4 1-1/4
6 12 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE V H T Mo · P F Yiu 10 62.0 2-1/4
7 8 TIMESTORM B/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Hall 4 4.4 2-1/2
8 5 SEE U AGAIN S De Sousa · C S Shum 12 33.0 2-1/2
9 7 AESTHETICISM C L Chau · P C Ng 8 65.0 3
10 3 SCOTCH TYCOON C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 12.0 3-1/2
11 9 CAMINO H/P1 L Ferraris · C Fownes 6 91.0 4-1/4
12 2 HERO STAR TT K C Leung · K L Man 11 13.0 20
0 SUPER KING H Bowman · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TELECOM SPEED2. CHEONG FAT+0.75L3. ABOVE ALL+0.75L4. PRECISION GOAL+0.75L5. STORMTROUPER+1.25L6. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+2.25L7. TIMESTORM+2.5L8. SEE U AGAIN+2.5L9. AESTHETICISM+3L10. SCOTCH TYCOON+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick TELECOM SPEED (24.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 TELECOM SPEED 24.7% 4.04 1
2 8 TIMESTORM 18.5% 5.42 7
3 4 STORMTROUPER 15.8% 6.33 5
4 3 SCOTCH TYCOON 9.7% 10.26 10
5 5 SEE U AGAIN 7.2% 13.84 8
6 10 CHEONG FAT 6.7% 14.87 2
7 7 AESTHETICISM 4.7% 21.07 9
8 2 HERO STAR 4.0% 24.74 12
9 12 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 4.0% 24.80 6
10 1 ABOVE ALL 1.8% 54.94 3
11 9 CAMINO 1.6% 63.36 11
12 11 PRECISION GOAL 1.1% 93.05 4
TELECOM SPEED — wonTIMESTORMSTORMTROUPERSCOTCH TYCOONSEE U AGAINCHEONG FATAESTHETICISMHERO STARWINWIN THIRTYTHREEABOVE ALLCAMINOPRECISION GOAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 47

PLACE

1 71

6 16.5

10 27.5

QUINELLA

6,10 251

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 225.5

1,10 426

6,10 75.5

FORECAST

6,10 443

TIERCE

6,10,1 8,651

TRIO

1,6,10 2,194

FIRST 4

1,6,10,11 27,003

QUARTET

6,10,1,11 344,781

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,8,9/1,6,10 44,072

2ND DOUBLE

9/6 162.5

9/10 62.5

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 16

A2