Happy Valley · 2023-04-26 · 21:17
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-26 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. LA CITY BLANCHE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with MAJESTIC VICTORY second and SMILING TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly H/TT 1.48.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.2 | N |
| 2 | 6 | MAJESTIC VICTORY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 11 | 9.9 | N |
| 3 | 9 | SMILING TIME Closed strongly V/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SAVVY KINGMAN B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | ROUND THE EARTH Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 12 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 9 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 10 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER B H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 1 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | FLYING SILVER CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 6.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | BULLETPROOF V- R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 5 | 30.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SATIRICAL GLORY Led early H S De Sousa · D A Hayes | S De Sousa | D A Hayes | 7 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | CELESTIAL POWER V-/B2/TT1 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 38.0 | 60-1/2 |
| — | 0 | TURIN MASCOT C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FLYING SILVER | 18.0% | 5.55 | 9 |
| 2 | 3 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 13.1% | 7.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | SMILING TIME | 11.4% | 8.76 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | ROUND THE EARTH | 8.6% | 11.63 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 7.5% | 13.30 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 7.1% | 13.99 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 6.7% | 14.93 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | CELESTIAL POWER | 6.5% | 15.29 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 6.5% | 15.33 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | BULLETPROOF | 6.4% | 15.55 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 5.1% | 19.43 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 2.9% | 35.03 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 32
PLACE
3 16.5
6 35
9 22
QUINELLA
3,6 232
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 90
3,9 41.5
6,9 121
FORECAST
3,6 369
TIERCE
3,6,9 1,625
TRIO
3,6,9 438
FIRST 4
3,4,6,9 1,592
QUARTET
3,6,9,4 22,868
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 21
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
10/3 235.5
10/6 126.5