跑馬地 · 2023-04-26 · 20:16
第 4場
2023-04-26跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、C Fownes訓練的INVINCIBLE MISSILE勝出，贏出1/2。ROMANTIC LAOS獲得亞軍；RIGHT HONOURABLE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門ROMANTIC LAOS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 TT 1.40.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS 後段發力 H/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 3.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | RIGHT HONOURABLE 後段發力 H/PC/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 6 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER BUDDY B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 86.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | KYRUS UNICORN 後段發力 B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 5 | 35.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | GANG OF BROTHERS CP/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | RIVER VIEWS 早段領放 L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | V CHEVALIERS B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 1 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | LIFELINE VISION 後段發力 CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | WIN WIN FIGHTER 後段發力 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | STARSHIP EIGHTY B/H/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 3 | 36.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | FLASH FAMOUS B/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 66.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 25.4% | 3.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | V CHEVALIERS | 17.4% | 5.73 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 11.8% | 8.47 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 9.1% | 10.99 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | RIVER VIEWS | 6.6% | 15.09 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 6.1% | 16.36 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | LIFELINE VISION | 5.7% | 17.55 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | KYRUS UNICORN | 4.4% | 22.71 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 4.3% | 23.13 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 4.2% | 23.99 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | FLASH FAMOUS | 3.4% | 29.05 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER BUDDY | 1.5% | 66.67 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 42.5
PLACE
2 15.5
4 14.5
9 49.5
QUINELLA
2,4 83.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 39
2,9 127
4,9 165
FORECAST
2,4 174
TIERCE
2,4,9 2,080
TRIO
2,4,9 576
FIRST 4
2,4,9,11 5,678
QUARTET
2,4,9,11 54,368
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18
3RD DOUBLE
6/2 229
6/4 26