跑馬地 · 2023-04-26 · 19:16
第 2場
2023-04-26跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、D A Hayes訓練的SNOWALOT勝出，贏出1。MELBOURNE HALL獲得亞軍；KING ECCELLENTE獲得季軍。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SNOWALOT B 1.09.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 3.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE CP/H/XB H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | KASI FARASI B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | STOICISM TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 8 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | FLAMING PASSION H/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GET THE MONIES XB1 M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 72.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | MR VALIANT H/XB S De Sousa · L Ho | S De Sousa | L Ho | 1 | 3.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | CRAIG'S MASTER SR/H1/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 120.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | SUPER ELITE TT1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | LUCKY QUALITY K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | BEAUTY TURN SR-/CP1/TT1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 7.4 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SNOWALOT | 19.1% | 5.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | MR VALIANT | 18.5% | 5.42 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE | 12.1% | 8.28 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | KASI FARASI | 11.8% | 8.50 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | MELBOURNE HALL | 9.1% | 10.93 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | FLAMING PASSION | 5.7% | 17.48 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER ELITE | 5.3% | 18.69 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | GET THE MONIES | 5.3% | 18.99 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | BEAUTY TURN | 4.6% | 21.57 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | STOICISM | 4.3% | 23.44 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | LUCKY QUALITY | 2.2% | 44.64 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 1.9% | 51.56 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 36.5
PLACE
3 22
8 29.5
9 15
QUINELLA
8,9 122.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 106.5
3,9 52.5
8,9 44.5
FORECAST
9,8 134
TIERCE
9,8,3 1,366
TRIO
3,8,9 326
FIRST 4
3,5,8,9 405
QUARTET
9,8,3,5 7,718
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
2/8 278.5
2/9 988
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19
A2 —