沙田 · 2023-05-07 · 15:37
第 6場
2023-05-07沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為SOFT。由M Chadwick策騎、F C Lor訓練的SUPER HIGHWAY勝出，贏出1。BABY CRYSTAL獲得亞軍；HORSESAIN BOLT獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門BABY CRYSTAL跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT 1.11.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 13 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 3.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | HORSESAIN BOLT B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 11 | 8.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | WATCH BUDDY A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 10 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | LEAN HERO CP/TT1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 14 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | MULTIDARLING CP H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 9 | 3.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SWEET BRIAR B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 12 | 43.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | COURIER MAGIC CP1/TT1 L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 4 | 62.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | FIGHTING STAR B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 15.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR H1/TT1 M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 6 | 68.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | PLENTIFUL H/XB/CP1 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 66.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | RED LEADER B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 8 | 121.0 | 18-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BABY CRYSTAL | 34.8% | 2.87 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | MULTIDARLING | 11.1% | 9.00 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | WATCH BUDDY | 9.0% | 11.08 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | LEAN HERO | 7.9% | 12.66 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 4.7% | 21.07 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | SWEET BRIAR | 4.5% | 22.20 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 4.4% | 22.65 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 4.4% | 22.92 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | SMART LEADER | 4.3% | 23.24 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | FIGHTING STAR | 4.1% | 24.41 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | RED LEADER | 3.6% | 27.47 | 14 |
| 12 | 2 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 2.8% | 35.17 | 9 |
| 13 | 6 | COURIER MAGIC | 2.7% | 37.03 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | PLENTIFUL | 1.5% | 65.31 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 114.5
PLACE
1 16
3 27
11 31
QUINELLA
1,11 201
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 62.5
1,11 75
3,11 122.5
FORECAST
11,1 707
TIERCE
11,1,3 3,704
TRIO
1,3,11 434
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 1,058
QUARTET
11,1,3,5 31,913
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 23.5
A3 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 66
5/11 969