沙田 · 2023-05-07 · 17:48
第 10場
2023-05-07沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為SOFT。由M Chadwick策騎、W Y So訓練的FLYING HIGH勝出，贏出N。PLEASANT ENDEAVOR獲得亞軍；COPARTNER AMBITION獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門RED ELEGANCE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FLYING HIGH TT 0.57.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 13 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 24.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP-/B1/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 12 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | INVINCIBLE SAGE H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR B K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 14 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | RED ELEGANCE XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 2.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 1 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 9 | 68.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE CP1/TT1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | BRILLIANT LIFE B C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 6 | 5.6 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | MAN STAR V C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 8 | 132.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | DROPS OF GOD P L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 3 | 69.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | CHATEAU A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 74.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | HAPPY DAILY V1/TT A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 5 | 42.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 0 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | RED ELEGANCE | 41.2% | 2.43 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 13.6% | 7.36 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | FLYING HIGH | 6.6% | 15.05 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 6.6% | 15.12 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 4.3% | 23.19 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 4.3% | 23.33 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.2% | 23.60 | 14 |
| 8 | 11 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 3.7% | 26.71 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR | 3.1% | 32.73 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | MAN STAR | 3.0% | 33.82 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL | 2.7% | 36.59 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 2.7% | 36.95 | 9 |
| 13 | 3 | CHATEAU | 2.0% | 49.56 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | DROPS OF GOD | 1.9% | 53.00 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 102
PLACE
2 48
8 26
11 39
QUINELLA
2,8 509
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 126
2,11 420
8,11 192
FORECAST
8,2 837
TIERCE
8,2,11 7,582
TRIO
2,8,11 3,123
FIRST 4
2,5,8,11 3,797
QUARTET
8,2,11,5 97,481
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 29.5
9TH DOUBLE
8/2 68.5
8/8 165.5