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Sha Tin · 2023-05-07 · 17:48

Race 10

Class 3 SOFT 1000m Course B 14 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-07 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on SOFT going. FLYING HIGH, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by N, with PLEASANT ENDEAVOR second and COPARTNER AMBITION third. The 2.2 favourite RED ELEGANCE finished 6th.

Result

Official · 0.57.07
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 FLYING HIGH TT 0.57.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So 13 10.0 N
2 2 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu 11 24.0 N
3 11 COPARTNER AMBITION CP-/B1/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 12 15.0 1-1/2
4 5 INVINCIBLE SAGE H Bowman · D J Hall 10 13.0 1-1/2
5 4 METRO WARRIOR B K H Chan · D A Hayes 14 18.0 1-3/4
6 14 RED ELEGANCE XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards 4 2.2 2-1/4
7 9 CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte 1 8.9 2-1/2
8 1 RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor 9 68.0 5
9 12 TOMODACHI KOKOROE CP1/TT1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes 2 16.0 6-1/2
10 13 BRILLIANT LIFE B C Y Ho · C H Yip 6 5.6 7-1/2
11 6 MAN STAR V C Wong · K H Ting 8 132.0 7-3/4
12 7 DROPS OF GOD P L Currie · J Size 3 69.0 8-1/4
13 3 CHATEAU A Hamelin · J Size 7 74.0 8-1/4
14 10 HAPPY DAILY V1/TT A Badel · L Ho 5 42.0 10-1/2
0 QUADRUPLE DOUBLE M F Poon · D J Hall

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FLYING HIGH2. PLEASANT ENDEAVOR+0.05L3. COPARTNER AMBITION+1.5L4. INVINCIBLE SAGE+1.5L5. METRO WARRIOR+1.75L6. RED ELEGANCE+2.25L7. CHEVAL VALIANT+2.5L8. RUN RUN COOL+5L9. TOMODACHI KOKOROE+6.5L10. BRILLIANT LIFE+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick RED ELEGANCE (41.2%) finished 6th — the winner FLYING HIGH was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 14 RED ELEGANCE 41.2% 2.43 6
2 9 CHEVAL VALIANT 13.6% 7.36 7
3 8 FLYING HIGH 6.6% 15.05 1
4 5 INVINCIBLE SAGE 6.6% 15.12 4
5 13 BRILLIANT LIFE 4.3% 23.19 10
6 2 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR 4.3% 23.33 2
7 10 HAPPY DAILY 4.2% 23.60 14
8 11 COPARTNER AMBITION 3.7% 26.71 3
9 4 METRO WARRIOR 3.1% 32.73 5
10 6 MAN STAR 3.0% 33.82 11
11 1 RUN RUN COOL 2.7% 36.59 8
12 12 TOMODACHI KOKOROE 2.7% 36.95 9
13 3 CHATEAU 2.0% 49.56 13
14 7 DROPS OF GOD 1.9% 53.00 12
RED ELEGANCECHEVAL VALIANTFLYING HIGH — wonINVINCIBLE SAGEBRILLIANT LIFEPLEASANT ENDEAVORHAPPY DAILYCOPARTNER AMBITIONMETRO WARRIORMAN STARRUN RUN COOLTOMODACHI KOKOROECHATEAUDROPS OF GOD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 102

PLACE

2 48

8 26

11 39

QUINELLA

2,8 509

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 126

2,11 420

8,11 192

FORECAST

8,2 837

TIERCE

8,2,11 7,582

TRIO

2,8,11 3,123

FIRST 4

2,5,8,11 3,797

QUARTET

8,2,11,5 97,481

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A1

A2 29.5

9TH DOUBLE

8/2 68.5

8/8 165.5