Sha Tin · 2023-05-07 · 13:06
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly H-/P- 1.23.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | APEX TOP B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 7 | 3.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 14 | 7.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HUNKY DORY Closed strongly SR/V/TT S De Sousa · W Y So | S De Sousa | W Y So | 1 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | U W BROTHER Led early M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 12 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 55.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG SPARKLE Closed strongly B1 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | JUST GREAT TWO B- H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 2 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK Closed strongly H/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 8.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 4 | 7.3 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | EASY LIFE TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 11 | 116.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 21.0 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT Closed strongly B-/V1 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 10 | 82.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 0 | HAPPY MATADOR B-/XB/TT- K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 56.0 | 16-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-07 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. YOUNG HORIZON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by D A Hayes, won by 5-1/4, with APEX TOP second and BEAUTY NOVA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite APEX TOP finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA | 16.3% | 6.15 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 15.0% | 6.67 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON | 14.0% | 7.12 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | APEX TOP | 12.7% | 7.85 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | U W BROTHER | 8.5% | 11.75 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK | 7.0% | 14.30 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 6.9% | 14.56 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | HUNKY DORY | 6.7% | 15.03 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY MATADOR | 3.2% | 31.13 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 3.0% | 33.24 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | JUST GREAT TWO | 2.7% | 36.47 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | EASY LIFE | 1.5% | 66.50 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY | 1.4% | 70.87 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | TURF BRILLIANT | 1.1% | 94.13 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 52.5
PLACE
4 20
8 17
9 24.5
QUINELLA
4,8 107
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 44.5
4,9 64.5
8,9 56
FORECAST
4,8 234
TIERCE
4,8,9 1,095
TRIO
4,8,9 171
FIRST 4
4,8,9,11 1,017
QUARTET
4,8,9,11 14,633
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/4 485
2/8 107
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21.5