Sha Tin · 2023-05-07 · 17:13
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly 2.30.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 2.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SWORD POINT Led early CP- S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 7 | 7.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 10 | 55.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 3 | 68.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 1 | 9.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 11 | 69.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PANFIELD Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 12 | 50.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 5 | 20.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SENOR TOBA TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 4 | 33.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 6.4 | 68 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-07 was Group 3 over 2400m, run on SOFT going. STRAIGHT ARRON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with SWORD POINT second and NATURAL STORM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 21.8% | 4.59 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY | 16.0% | 6.24 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | SWORD POINT | 14.9% | 6.73 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SENOR TOBA | 10.4% | 9.59 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH | 8.3% | 12.00 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 6.8% | 14.67 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 5.5% | 18.14 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 5.1% | 19.72 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | PANFIELD | 4.4% | 22.93 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 3.5% | 28.90 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 2.0% | 50.96 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE | 1.4% | 73.03 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 21.5
PLACE
8 12
9 24.5
12 104.5
QUINELLA
8,9 74
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 32.5
8,12 170
9,12 441.5
FORECAST
8,9 138
TIERCE
8,9,12 2,539
TRIO
8,9,12 771
FIRST 4
6,8,9,12 7,873
QUARTET
8,9,12,6 61,275
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
10,12,13/8,9,12 1,452,468
8TH DOUBLE
13/8 466.5
13/9 282.5