Sha Tin · 2023-05-07 · 16:41
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-07 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on SOFT going. ALL IS GOOD, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with LADY'S CHOICE second and TOGEPI third. The winner led throughout. The 3.9 favourite GOLDEN BULL finished 12th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | ALL IS GOOD Wire to wire B 1.25.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | TOGEPI Closed strongly S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 10 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | DRAGON STAR B/XB L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 13 | 100.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | GOOD NEWS Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly CP-/B1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | MASTER HERO XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | FORERUNNER CP- C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | NATURAL GOLD SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | DAZZLING FELLOW B/XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 6 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | GOLDEN BULL B/XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 3.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | WIND SPEEDER B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 12 | 47.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 7 | COPARTNER PUDONG K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 16.0 | 18-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ENNEA FORTUNE · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLDEN BULL | 23.8% | 4.20 | 12 |
| 2 | 7 | COPARTNER PUDONG | 11.1% | 9.04 | 14 |
| 3 | 1 | GOOD NEWS | 9.5% | 10.48 | 6 |
| 4 | 14 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 9.3% | 10.70 | 11 |
| 5 | 10 | TOGEPI | 7.8% | 12.83 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 6.7% | 15.02 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | FORERUNNER | 6.6% | 15.23 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | MASTER HERO | 5.3% | 18.76 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | STURDY RUBY | 5.2% | 19.32 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | NATURAL GOLD | 5.0% | 19.98 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | ALL IS GOOD | 4.4% | 22.66 | 1 |
| 12 | 8 | WIND SPEEDER | 2.3% | 42.60 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | LADY'S CHOICE | 2.0% | 49.57 | 2 |
| 14 | 11 | DRAGON STAR | 0.9% | 107.58 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 174.5
PLACE
10 46
12 41
13 44.5
QUINELLA
12,13 1,420
QUINELLA PLACE
10,12 273.5
10,13 423
12,13 405
FORECAST
13,12 2,772
TIERCE
13,12,10 27,224
TRIO
10,12,13 4,970
FIRST 4
6,10,12,13 15,620
QUARTET
13,12,10,6 352,493
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 20.5
7TH DOUBLE
7/12 29.5
7/13 369