沙田 · 2023-05-07 · 16:41
第 8場
2023-05-07沙田第8場,Class 4,途程1400米,跑道評為SOFT。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的ALL IS GOOD勝出,贏出3/4。LADY'S CHOICE獲得亞軍;TOGEPI獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.9倍大熱門GOLDEN BULL跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | ALL IS GOOD 一路領先 B 1.25.16 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | TOGEPI 後段發力 S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 10 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | STURDY RUBY 後段發力 TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | DRAGON STAR B/XB L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 13 | 100.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | GOOD NEWS 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | DRAGON DELIGHT 後段發力 CP-/B1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | MASTER HERO XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | FORERUNNER CP- C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | NATURAL GOLD SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | DAZZLING FELLOW B/XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 6 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | GOLDEN BULL B/XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 3.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | WIND SPEEDER B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 12 | 47.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 7 | COPARTNER PUDONG K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 16.0 | 18-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ENNEA FORTUNE · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLDEN BULL | 23.8% | 4.20 | 12 |
| 2 | 7 | COPARTNER PUDONG | 11.1% | 9.04 | 14 |
| 3 | 1 | GOOD NEWS | 9.5% | 10.48 | 6 |
| 4 | 14 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 9.3% | 10.70 | 11 |
| 5 | 10 | TOGEPI | 7.8% | 12.83 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 6.7% | 15.02 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | FORERUNNER | 6.6% | 15.23 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | MASTER HERO | 5.3% | 18.76 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | STURDY RUBY | 5.2% | 19.32 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | NATURAL GOLD | 5.0% | 19.98 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | ALL IS GOOD | 4.4% | 22.66 | 1 |
| 12 | 8 | WIND SPEEDER | 2.3% | 42.60 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | LADY'S CHOICE | 2.0% | 49.57 | 2 |
| 14 | 11 | DRAGON STAR | 0.9% | 107.58 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 174.5
PLACE
10 46
12 41
13 44.5
QUINELLA
12,13 1,420
QUINELLA PLACE
10,12 273.5
10,13 423
12,13 405
FORECAST
13,12 2,772
TIERCE
13,12,10 27,224
TRIO
10,12,13 4,970
FIRST 4
6,10,12,13 15,620
QUARTET
13,12,10,6 352,493
全部彩池(另 2 項)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 20.5
7TH DOUBLE
7/12 29.5
7/13 369