沙田 · 2023-05-07 · 15:08
第 5場
2023-05-07沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為SOFT。由C Y Ho策騎、P C Ng訓練的MASTER OF FORTUNE勝出，贏出1-1/2。SUPERB MOVE獲得亞軍；LIFELINE VISION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門PERFETTO跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER OF FORTUNE 後段發力 TT 1.38.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 11 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | SUPERB MOVE 早段領放 B/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 4 | 6.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | LIFELINE VISION 後段發力 CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 14 | 36.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR 後段發力 B/XB A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 8 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | HAPPY DAY 後段發力 A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 5 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | PERFETTO 後段發力 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 3.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | OSCAR GLORY V Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 10 | 99.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | FAST BUCK P L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 2 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 19.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | PERFECT TO GREAT SR/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 7 | 15.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | PERFECT ROCK V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 6 | 82.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | INDIGENOUS REALM TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 27.0 | 28 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PERFETTO | 30.0% | 3.33 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY DAY | 8.6% | 11.59 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 8.3% | 12.00 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR | 8.0% | 12.53 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | FAST BUCK | 6.0% | 16.61 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 5.8% | 17.22 | 14 |
| 7 | 13 | LIFELINE VISION | 5.6% | 17.77 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 5.5% | 18.32 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPERB MOVE | 5.0% | 19.90 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | OSCAR GLORY | 4.5% | 22.39 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER HONG KONG | 4.5% | 22.41 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 3.8% | 26.23 | 9 |
| 13 | 10 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 3.1% | 32.38 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | PERFECT ROCK | 1.3% | 76.75 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 102
PLACE
5 27
12 23
13 35.5
QUINELLA
5,12 355.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,12 134
5,13 162
12,13 172
FORECAST
5,12 676
TIERCE
5,12,13 8,853
TRIO
5,12,13 1,715
FIRST 4
5,7,12,13 10,927
QUARTET
5,12,13,7 162,136
全部彩池（另 4 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/9/5 1,220
4/9/12 197
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,10/5,12,13 698,300
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 21.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/5 533.5
9/12 58