Sha Tin · 2023-05-07 · 15:08
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT 1.38.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 11 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE Led early B/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 4 | 6.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly B/XB A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 8 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY DAY Closed strongly A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 5 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFETTO Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 3.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY V Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 10 | 99.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | FAST BUCK P L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 2 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 19.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT SR/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 7 | 15.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 6 | 82.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 27.0 | 28 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | — | 36.0 | 2-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-07 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on SOFT going. MASTER OF FORTUNE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/2, with SUPERB MOVE second and LIFELINE VISION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite PERFETTO finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PERFETTO | 30.0% | 3.33 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY DAY | 8.6% | 11.59 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 8.3% | 12.00 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR | 8.0% | 12.53 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | FAST BUCK | 6.0% | 16.61 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 5.8% | 17.22 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 5.6% | 17.77 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 5.5% | 18.32 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE | 5.0% | 19.90 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY | 4.5% | 22.39 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 4.5% | 22.41 | — |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 3.8% | 26.23 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 3.1% | 32.38 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | PERFECT ROCK | 1.3% | 76.75 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 102
PLACE
5 27
12 23
13 35.5
QUINELLA
5,12 355.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,12 134
5,13 162
12,13 172
FORECAST
5,12 676
TIERCE
5,12,13 8,853
TRIO
5,12,13 1,715
FIRST 4
5,7,12,13 10,927
QUARTET
5,12,13,7 162,136
All pools (4 more)
1ST TREBLE
4/9/5 1,220
4/9/12 197
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,10/5,12,13 698,300
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 21.5
4TH DOUBLE
9/5 533.5
9/12 58