Sha Tin · 2023-05-07 · 18:23
Race 11
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SEIZING THE MOMENT Closed strongly B 1.23.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 35.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 7 | 7.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 32.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MAJESTIC COLOUR V-/B1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | MIGHTY STRIDE Closed strongly H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 9 | 38.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO Led early B1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 17.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HYPER DRAGON BALL TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 4 | 4.2 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ENDEARED V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | — | 45.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | — | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly B-/XB/SR2/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | — | 96.0 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-07 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on SOFT going. SEIZING THE MOMENT, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 2-1/2, with AMAZING VICTORY second and BEAUTY FIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite MIGHTY STRIDE finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 40.6% | 2.46 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | HYPER DRAGON BALL | 22.0% | 4.54 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 8.7% | 11.46 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY | 8.0% | 12.42 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO | 4.7% | 21.48 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | VIVA CHALEUR | 3.9% | 25.69 | — |
| 7 | 0 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 3.2% | 31.51 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 3.1% | 31.75 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON | 2.2% | 45.26 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 1.5% | 65.64 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | ENDEARED | 1.3% | 76.28 | — |
| 12 | 0 | IVY LEAGUE | 0.7% | 150.38 | — |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 357.5
PLACE
2 21
5 64.5
9 67
QUINELLA
2,9 1,092
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 285
2,9 268.5
5,9 645.5
FORECAST
9,2 2,315
TIERCE
9,2,5 42,170
TRIO
2,5,9 6,105
FIRST 4
2,3,5,9 7,828
QUARTET
9,2,5,3 232,626
All pools (5 more)
10TH DOUBLE
8/2 92
8/9 2,022
2ND TREBLE
8/8/2 256
8/8/9 7,172
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 40.5
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,11/2,5,9 1,899,345
SIX UP
1,11/3,7/12,13/8,9/2,8/2,9 21,450
11/7/13/8/8/9 2,966,147
1 [J Size] —
2 [C Y Ho] —