跑馬地 · 2023-05-24 · 20:51
第 5場
2023-05-24跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、K W Lui訓練的LONDON LUCKYSTAR勝出，贏出2-1/4。AMAZING BOY獲得亞軍；M UNICORN獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.8倍大熱門LIFELINE VISION跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR 一路領先 B/TT 1.40.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 6.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | AMAZING BOY 後段發力 TT H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 8 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | M UNICORN 後段發力 H/P/TT M Dee · C Fownes | M Dee | C Fownes | 6 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | BABY B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 3 | 5.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | LIFELINE VISION CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SUN OF MAKFI 後段發力 B/XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 8.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | HELENE WISDOM STAR 後段發力 B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSION 後段發力 SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 9.2 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | HAPPY FOR ALL 後段發力 B/H/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 5.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | NUNCHUKS V1/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 4 | 33.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | RELIABLE PROFIT B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 92.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 2 | EMERGING B/H/TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 5 | 36.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LIFELINE VISION | 20.0% | 5.00 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 17.1% | 5.85 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | SUN OF MAKFI | 12.9% | 7.76 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSION | 10.7% | 9.35 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 10.5% | 9.52 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | BABY | 8.5% | 11.76 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | M UNICORN | 6.4% | 15.66 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | AMAZING BOY | 5.7% | 17.51 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 4.6% | 21.53 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | NUNCHUKS | 2.6% | 38.48 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 1.0% | 102.32 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 65
PLACE
6 21.5
7 62
11 48.5
QUINELLA
6,7 680
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 190.5
6,11 181.5
7,11 488
FORECAST
6,7 893
TIERCE
6,7,11 20,621
TRIO
6,7,11 2,874
FIRST 4
6,7,8,11 4,322
QUARTET
6,7,11,8 109,187
全部彩池（另 4 項）
1ST TREBLE
2/10/6 69,688
2/10/7 13,059
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,10/6,7,11 396,471
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 19
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/6 516
10/7 292