Happy Valley · 2023-05-24 · 20:51
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-24 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LONDON LUCKYSTAR, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-1/4, with AMAZING BOY second and M UNICORN third. The winner led throughout. The 4.8 favourite LIFELINE VISION finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Wire to wire B/TT 1.40.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 6.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 8 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | M UNICORN Closed strongly H/P/TT M Dee · C Fownes | M Dee | C Fownes | 6 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | BABY B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 3 | 5.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | LIFELINE VISION CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly B/XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 8.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSION Closed strongly SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 9.2 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | HAPPY FOR ALL Closed strongly B/H/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 5.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | NUNCHUKS V1/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 4 | 33.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | RELIABLE PROFIT B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 92.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 2 | EMERGING B/H/TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 5 | 36.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LIFELINE VISION | 20.0% | 5.00 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 17.1% | 5.85 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | SUN OF MAKFI | 12.9% | 7.76 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSION | 10.7% | 9.35 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 10.5% | 9.52 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | BABY | 8.5% | 11.76 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | M UNICORN | 6.4% | 15.66 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | AMAZING BOY | 5.7% | 17.51 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 4.6% | 21.53 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | NUNCHUKS | 2.6% | 38.48 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 1.0% | 102.32 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 65
PLACE
6 21.5
7 62
11 48.5
QUINELLA
6,7 680
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 190.5
6,11 181.5
7,11 488
FORECAST
6,7 893
TIERCE
6,7,11 20,621
TRIO
6,7,11 2,874
FIRST 4
6,7,8,11 4,322
QUARTET
6,7,11,8 109,187
All pools (4 more)
1ST TREBLE
2/10/6 69,688
2/10/7 13,059
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,10/6,7,11 396,471
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 19
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/6 516
10/7 292