Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2023-05-24 · 19:46

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C 12 runners

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-24 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHRYSOS, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with DURHAM STAR second and GANG OF BROTHERS third. The winner led throughout. The 2.3 favourite CORDYCEPS ONE finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.40.43
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 CHRYSOS Wire to wire B1/TT 1.40.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C Fownes 9 69.0 1-1/2
2 6 DURHAM STAR Closed strongly SR/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte 5 7.4 1-1/2
3 1 GANG OF BROTHERS CP/TT A Badel · P C Ng 7 13.0 2-1/4
4 3 LEAN HERO CP/TT M Dee · D A Hayes 1 7.1 2-1/2
5 5 SUNNY DELIGHT Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 6 19.0 5-3/4
6 12 CORDYCEPS ONE Closed strongly B/H K Teetan · K W Lui 4 2.3 6
7 10 TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · J Richards 11 13.0 6-1/2
8 11 TRAVEL GUIDE CP/XB/TT L Currie · R Gibson 12 126.0 6-3/4
9 4 DIAMOND DIAMOND Z Purton · T P Yung 8 8.8 6-3/4
10 9 COPARTNER FIONN SR-/B2/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 3 9.7 7
11 7 KYRUS UNICORN B K H Chan · D J Hall 10 20.0 8
12 8 MULTIWIN B-/H Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 97.0 17

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHRYSOS2. DURHAM STAR+1.5L3. GANG OF BROTHERS+2.25L4. LEAN HERO+2.5L5. SUNNY DELIGHT+5.75L6. CORDYCEPS ONE+6L7. TO INFINITY+6.5L8. TRAVEL GUIDE+6.75L9. DIAMOND DIAMOND+6.75L10. COPARTNER FIONN+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick LEAN HERO (17.2%) finished 4th — the winner CHRYSOS was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 LEAN HERO 17.2% 5.80 4
2 4 DIAMOND DIAMOND 15.1% 6.64 9
3 12 CORDYCEPS ONE 14.1% 7.08 6
4 1 GANG OF BROTHERS 10.7% 9.38 3
5 9 COPARTNER FIONN 10.3% 9.72 10
6 6 DURHAM STAR 8.6% 11.60 2
7 5 SUNNY DELIGHT 7.8% 12.89 5
8 10 TO INFINITY 7.6% 13.08 7
9 7 KYRUS UNICORN 5.2% 19.08 11
10 8 MULTIWIN 1.4% 70.42 12
11 2 CHRYSOS 1.0% 99.61 1
12 11 TRAVEL GUIDE 0.9% 106.29 8
LEAN HERODIAMOND DIAMONDCORDYCEPS ONEGANG OF BROTHERSCOPARTNER FIONNDURHAM STARSUNNY DELIGHTTO INFINITYKYRUS UNICORNMULTIWINCHRYSOS — wonTRAVEL GUIDE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 692.5

PLACE

1 33.5

2 141.5

6 22.5

QUINELLA

2,6 2,369.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 774

1,6 118.5

2,6 573.5

FORECAST

2,6 5,936

TIERCE

2,6,1 70,711

TRIO

1,2,6 7,319

FIRST 4

1,2,3,6 9,302

QUARTET

2,6,1,3 311,346

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,6/1,2,6 294,591

2ND DOUBLE

5/2 2,755.5

5/6 67

3 PICK 1

A2

A1

A3 32