Happy Valley · 2023-05-24 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly 2.16.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 3 | 5.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 2 | 2.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER Closed strongly CP/XB/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 9 | 37.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 37.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION Closed strongly TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 9.2 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER B/XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 7 | 27.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR P- K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 4 | 25.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE CP L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 8 | 10.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RING BELLS Led early B/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 5.4 | 22-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 11 | 14.0 | 30-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SEATOSKY CP B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 5 | 31.0 | 68-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY WON K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-24 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. FORTUNE TRIPLE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 2-1/4, with VINCY second and FORTUNE WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite VINCY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VINCY | 22.7% | 4.41 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | RING BELLS | 14.5% | 6.88 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 12.6% | 7.96 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 9.8% | 10.20 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR | 6.7% | 14.91 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 6.4% | 15.61 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR | 6.4% | 15.71 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 5.5% | 18.28 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 4.2% | 23.63 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER | 4.2% | 23.92 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 3.5% | 28.20 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SEATOSKY | 3.5% | 28.22 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 56
PLACE
2 13.5
11 17.5
12 80
QUINELLA
2,11 72.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 32
2,12 229.5
11,12 299
FORECAST
11,2 156
TIERCE
11,2,12 3,536
TRIO
2,11,12 913
FIRST 4
2,3,11,12 2,068
QUARTET
11,2,12,3 34,143
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5