Happy Valley · 2023-05-24 · 23:03
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-24 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. PRIME MINISTER, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with VIVA HUNTER second and EIGHTEEN PALMS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite EIGHTEEN PALMS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly 1.40.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | VIVA HUNTER TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 12 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | EIGHTEEN PALMS Closed strongly B L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 7 | 4.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | WINNING DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 9 | 46.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly XB Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | RED MAJESTY B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 2 | 9.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | RATTAN KINGDOM Closed strongly B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 11 | 6.6 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 6 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 18.7% | 5.36 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 18.5% | 5.42 | 11 |
| 3 | 10 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 14.1% | 7.11 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | ZONE D | 8.4% | 11.97 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | PRIME MINISTER | 8.1% | 12.42 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | WINNING DRAGON | 7.8% | 12.83 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | VIVA HUNTER | 5.4% | 18.69 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | RED MAJESTY | 4.9% | 20.39 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 4.5% | 22.18 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | ALL BEAUTY | 4.2% | 23.79 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | SKYEY SUPREME | 3.7% | 26.92 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.9% | 52.07 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 79
PLACE
3 25
7 47.5
10 17
QUINELLA
3,7 585.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 189.5
3,10 72.5
7,10 129.5
FORECAST
3,7 1,083
TIERCE
3,7,10 6,158
TRIO
3,7,10 936
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 1,727
QUARTET
3,7,10,1 48,999
All pools (5 more)
2ND TREBLE
12/12/3 4,693
12/12/7 3,155
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 27
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,12/3,7,10 617,849
8TH DOUBLE
12/3 523.5
12/7 321
SIX UP
8,10/6,7/2,6/2,12/7,12/3,7 141,681
10/6/6/12/12/3 830,938
11 [P F Yiu] —
3 [L Hewitson] —