跑馬地 · 2023-05-24 · 23:03
第 9場
2023-05-24跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、P F Yiu訓練的PRIME MINISTER勝出，贏出3/4。VIVA HUNTER獲得亞軍；EIGHTEEN PALMS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.7倍大熱門EIGHTEEN PALMS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PRIME MINISTER 後段發力 1.40.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | VIVA HUNTER TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 12 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | EIGHTEEN PALMS 後段發力 B L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 7 | 4.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | WINNING DRAGON 後段發力 H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | SKYEY SUPREME 早段領放 B/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 9 | 46.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | ALL BEAUTY 後段發力 H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | JUMBO FORTUNE 後段發力 XB Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | ZONE D 後段發力 H/P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | RED MAJESTY B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 2 | 9.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | RATTAN KINGDOM 後段發力 B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 11 | 6.6 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 6 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 18.7% | 5.36 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 18.5% | 5.42 | 11 |
| 3 | 10 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 14.1% | 7.11 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | ZONE D | 8.4% | 11.97 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | PRIME MINISTER | 8.1% | 12.42 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | WINNING DRAGON | 7.8% | 12.83 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | VIVA HUNTER | 5.4% | 18.69 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | RED MAJESTY | 4.9% | 20.39 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 4.5% | 22.18 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | ALL BEAUTY | 4.2% | 23.79 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | SKYEY SUPREME | 3.7% | 26.92 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.9% | 52.07 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 79
PLACE
3 25
7 47.5
10 17
QUINELLA
3,7 585.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 189.5
3,10 72.5
7,10 129.5
FORECAST
3,7 1,083
TIERCE
3,7,10 6,158
TRIO
3,7,10 936
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 1,727
QUARTET
3,7,10,1 48,999
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
12/12/3 4,693
12/12/7 3,155
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 27
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,12/3,7,10 617,849
8TH DOUBLE
12/3 523.5
12/7 321
SIX UP
8,10/6,7/2,6/2,12/7,12/3,7 141,681
10/6/6/12/12/3 830,938
11 [P F Yiu] —
3 [L Hewitson] —