跑馬地 · 2023-05-24 · 21:56
第 7場
2023-05-24跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H T Mo策騎、P F Yiu訓練的COLONEL勝出，贏出HD。SIGHT HERO獲得亞軍；HAPPY TRIO獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門PRIME MORTAR跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | COLONEL V 1.09.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 1 | 5.2 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | SIGHT HERO B/TT M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 10 | 16.0 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | HAPPY TRIO B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | EXUBERANT B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 9.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | STOICISM TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 4 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | CAMINO H/P L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 3 | 34.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | EASY SNIP B L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 5 | 7.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | PRIME MORTAR CP/XB/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 3.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 7 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | SO AWESOME B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | FIGHTING STAR B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 36.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | SWEET DIAMOND B B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 11 | 47.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PRIME MORTAR | 21.1% | 4.74 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | EXUBERANT | 14.7% | 6.80 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | WOOD ON FIRE | 12.0% | 8.32 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | HAPPY TRIO | 10.7% | 9.33 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | EASY SNIP | 8.6% | 11.69 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | COLONEL | 8.5% | 11.74 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | SIGHT HERO | 8.5% | 11.77 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | STOICISM | 6.2% | 16.13 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | FIGHTING STAR | 3.2% | 31.16 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | SO AWESOME | 2.7% | 36.59 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | SWEET DIAMOND | 2.4% | 41.77 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | CAMINO | 1.4% | 73.17 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 52.5
PLACE
2 36.5
7 19
12 22.5
QUINELLA
2,12 506
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 97.5
2,12 149.5
7,12 55.5
FORECAST
12,2 940
TIERCE
12,2,7 5,405
TRIO
2,7,12 671
FIRST 4
2,3,7,12 1,130
QUARTET
12,2,7,3 29,562
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 23
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/2,7,12 18,220
6TH DOUBLE
6/2 50.5
6/12 154.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,7,11/2,6,7/Any Combination 22,769