Happy Valley · 2023-05-24 · 22:28
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-24 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MAGIC PHOENIX, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K H Ting, won by HD, with WONDER KIT second and SMART IDEA third. The 3.3 favourite MAGNIAC finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT 1.09.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 5 | 8.1 | HD |
| 2 | 7 | WONDER KIT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 11 | 16.0 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | SMART IDEA H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 1 | 11.0 | N |
| 4 | 6 | COPARTNER AMBITION B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 7.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | LESLIE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | ACT OF FAITH B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | COMPASSION SUPER XB/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 7 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 3 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | MAGNIAC V/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 3.3 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | SAKEWIN CP Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 10 | 44.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MAGNIAC | 26.3% | 3.81 | 11 |
| 2 | 10 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 11.4% | 8.78 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 11.0% | 9.08 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | WONDER KIT | 9.9% | 10.13 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | ACT OF FAITH | 8.5% | 11.79 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 7.6% | 13.08 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | COMPASSION SUPER | 5.8% | 17.10 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | LESLIE | 4.7% | 21.41 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | SAKEWIN | 4.6% | 21.52 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | SMART IDEA | 4.4% | 22.68 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 4.3% | 23.11 | 1 |
| 12 | 5 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 1.4% | 70.52 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 81
PLACE
4 38.5
7 44
12 28.5
QUINELLA
7,12 852.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 320.5
4,12 159
7,12 222.5
FORECAST
12,7 1,088
TIERCE
12,7,4 12,707
TRIO
4,7,12 3,476
FIRST 4
4,6,7,12 6,317
QUARTET
12,7,4,6 131,265
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 28.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
12/7 191
12/12 483