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Happy Valley · 2023-05-24 · 21:26

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD 1000m Course C 10 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-24 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SEASONS WIT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by SH, with HARMONY N BLESSED second and ATOMIC ENERGY third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.56.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 SEASONS WIT B/TT 0.56.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards 3 1.8 SH
2 2 HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes 8 7.6 SH
3 7 ATOMIC ENERGY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 11.0 1/2
4 4 LIGHTNING STORM TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 9 6.8 1/2
5 5 DROPS OF GOD P- K Teetan · J Size 5 34.0 1-1/2
6 1 TORONADO PHANTOM P-/TT B Avdulla · J Size 2 21.0 2-1/2
7 3 GORGEOUS VITALITY CP1 M Chadwick · F C Lor 6 17.0 2-1/2
8 10 HIGH RISE SOLDIER B H T Mo · K W Lui 4 70.0 5
9 9 KOKUSHI MUSOU B/TT A Badel · C Fownes 7 33.0 5
10 8 HARMONY FIRE SR/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte 1 8.5 6

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SEASONS WIT2. HARMONY N BLESSED+0.1L3. ATOMIC ENERGY+0.5L4. LIGHTNING STORM+0.5L5. DROPS OF GOD+1.5L6. TORONADO PHANTOM+2.5L7. GORGEOUS VITALITY+2.5L8. HIGH RISE SOLDIER+5L9. KOKUSHI MUSOU+5L10. HARMONY FIRE+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SEASONS WIT (42.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 SEASONS WIT 42.5% 2.35 1
2 7 ATOMIC ENERGY 11.0% 9.09 3
3 4 LIGHTNING STORM 9.9% 10.10 4
4 8 HARMONY FIRE 8.9% 11.30 10
5 2 HARMONY N BLESSED 7.1% 14.12 2
6 3 GORGEOUS VITALITY 5.3% 18.89 7
7 9 KOKUSHI MUSOU 4.6% 21.79 9
8 10 HIGH RISE SOLDIER 3.8% 26.13 8
9 1 TORONADO PHANTOM 3.6% 28.05 6
10 5 DROPS OF GOD 3.4% 29.26 5
SEASONS WIT — wonATOMIC ENERGYLIGHTNING STORMHARMONY FIREHARMONY N BLESSEDGORGEOUS VITALITYKOKUSHI MUSOUHIGH RISE SOLDIERTORONADO PHANTOMDROPS OF GOD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 18

PLACE

2 20

6 10.5

7 25

QUINELLA

2,6 62

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 28.5

2,7 99

6,7 38

FORECAST

6,2 99

TIERCE

6,2,7 524

TRIO

2,6,7 179

FIRST 4

2,4,6,7 113

QUARTET

6,2,7,4 1,505

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A1 14.5

A3

5TH DOUBLE

6/2 111

6/6 140