Happy Valley · 2023-05-24 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-24 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. STARRY NIGHT, ridden by M Dee and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with STRIVE FOR GLORY second and GOODMANSHIP third. The 3.3 favourite TRONIC MIGHTY finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | STARRY NIGHT CP-/B2/TT 0.57.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.7 | N |
| 2 | 3 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 1 | 3.4 | N |
| 3 | 6 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | JAZZ STEED B-/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 4 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | TRONIC MIGHTY V/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | HAR HAR AT HEART E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 58.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | TREASURE OF FIELD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 11 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | THIS IS GUTS V1/TT M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 5 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | DRAGON KINGDOM K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | SIX BEST FRIENDS CP1/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 8 | 43.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | CALL ME LU PC2/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 6 | 34.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | SHINY TWO B/XB H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 3 | 62.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 26.1% | 3.82 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 21.4% | 4.67 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | STARRY NIGHT | 15.0% | 6.65 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | GOODMANSHIP | 7.3% | 13.78 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 6.2% | 16.17 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | HAR HAR AT HEART | 4.6% | 21.66 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | JAZZ STEED | 4.6% | 21.82 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 4.0% | 24.70 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | CALL ME LU | 3.0% | 33.30 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | SHINY TWO | 2.8% | 35.50 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | SIX BEST FRIENDS | 2.7% | 37.62 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | THIS IS GUTS | 2.2% | 44.58 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 77.5
PLACE
3 16
5 21
6 17
QUINELLA
3,5 122
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 45.5
3,6 42
5,6 57.5
FORECAST
5,3 237
TIERCE
5,3,6 1,205
TRIO
3,5,6 243
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 466
QUARTET
5,3,6,4 9,928
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/3 48.5
11/5 340
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 24.5
A1 —