沙田 · 2023-05-28 · 13:31
第 3場
2023-05-28沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、D J Whyte訓練的THE GOOD DEAL勝出，贏出2-1/2。FINGERS CROSSED獲得亞軍；SUNSHINE LEGENDARY獲得季軍。頭馬以3.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | THE GOOD DEAL TT 1.09.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | FINGERS CROSSED P-/H/B1/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY CP/H2 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | VAMOS H- H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 6 | 7.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | GOLDEN MISSION B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 14 | 33.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | SURE WINNER M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | BIRDSVILLE B-/SR2/TT M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 8 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | TURBO POWER E C W Wong · K W Lui | E C W Wong | K W Lui | 9 | 6.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | LITTLE PLAYER PC-/XB/B2/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 7 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 10 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | HAPPY FOREVER V/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 13 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SMILING MOON B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 5 | 133.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 14 | DASHING GENIUS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 41.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | LE PLUS VITE CP/XB M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 1 | 74.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | THE GOOD DEAL | 15.3% | 6.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | FINGERS CROSSED | 12.7% | 7.87 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | VAMOS | 12.5% | 7.99 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY | 9.5% | 10.53 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | TURBO POWER | 8.3% | 12.12 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | BIRDSVILLE | 7.8% | 12.78 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | DAY DAY RICH | 6.7% | 14.95 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | GOLDEN MISSION | 6.2% | 16.18 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | LITTLE PLAYER | 6.1% | 16.42 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | HAPPY FOREVER | 4.4% | 22.72 | 11 |
| 11 | 14 | DASHING GENIUS | 4.3% | 23.21 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | SURE WINNER | 2.8% | 35.77 | 6 |
| 13 | 11 | LE PLUS VITE | 2.4% | 41.06 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | SMILING MOON | 1.0% | 100.88 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 38.5
PLACE
3 39.5
4 22
7 16
QUINELLA
4,7 111.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 171.5
3,7 98.5
4,7 50.5
FORECAST
7,4 242
TIERCE
7,4,3 2,572
TRIO
3,4,7 562
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 706
QUARTET
7,4,3,2 13,348
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/3,4,7 10,292
2ND DOUBLE
2/4 44.5
2/7 102.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 25