沙田 · 2023-05-28 · 15:00
第 6場
2023-05-28沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K L Man訓練的CIRCUIT MIGHTY勝出，贏出N。YELLOWFIN獲得亞軍；RIVER VIEWS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.3倍大熱門YOUNG HORIZON跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY 後段發力 TT 1.21.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 12 | 5.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | YELLOWFIN 後段發力 XB1/TT- L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 7.6 | N |
| 3 | 14 | RIVER VIEWS 早段領放 K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 1 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | YOUNG HORIZON 後段發力 C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 9 | 4.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | MASTER HERO 後段發力 XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | WATCH BUDDY 後段發力 A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 4 | 9.5 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | BRAVE AND BOLD 後段發力 K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 11 | 36.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | DRAGON STAR B/XB/TT1 L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 10 | 43.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | HIGH CLOUD B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPER WINNER TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 19.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE H M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 5 | 7.2 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | DAILY TROPHY 後段發力 TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 14 | 17.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | SINGAPORE SUNSHINE BO/XB M Dee · A T Millard | M Dee | A T Millard | 6 | 30.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | URBAN TRIUMPH V/TT B Avdulla · W Y So | B Avdulla | W Y So | 2 | 22.0 | 21-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GOAL ORIENTED K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 15.6% | 6.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | RIVER VIEWS | 12.7% | 7.89 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | YELLOWFIN | 12.5% | 8.03 | 2 |
| 4 | 13 | YOUNG HORIZON | 10.1% | 9.93 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | WATCH BUDDY | 8.9% | 11.18 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 7.9% | 12.69 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | MASTER HERO | 5.1% | 19.56 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | SINGAPORE SUNSHINE | 5.1% | 19.66 | 13 |
| 9 | 7 | DAILY TROPHY | 4.8% | 20.64 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | URBAN TRIUMPH | 4.4% | 22.76 | 14 |
| 11 | 2 | SUPER WINNER | 4.2% | 23.65 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | HIGH CLOUD | 3.2% | 31.29 | 9 |
| 13 | 9 | DRAGON STAR | 3.2% | 31.49 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | BRAVE AND BOLD | 2.3% | 42.91 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 50
PLACE
1 21
6 26.5
14 40.5
QUINELLA
1,6 212
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 80.5
1,14 144.5
6,14 180
FORECAST
1,6 380
TIERCE
1,6,14 4,140
TRIO
1,6,14 1,053
FIRST 4
1,6,13,14 758
QUARTET
1,6,14,13 15,735
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 17.5
5TH DOUBLE
1/1 159.5
1/6 32