沙田 · 2023-05-28 · 14:31
第 5場
2023-05-28沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的MODULECONSTRUCTION勝出，贏出1/2。HERO ICON獲得亞軍；SMART FIGHTER獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT 1.09.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 14 | HERO ICON TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | SMART FIGHTER K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 8.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | MULTIDARLING CP H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 9 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | TRUST ME B/H/TT- Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 13 | 7.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | DAN ATTACK H1/TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 3 | 4.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | CHAMPION INSTINCT M Dee · D J Hall | M Dee | D J Hall | 4 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | SOO FRESH TT B Avdulla · W Y So | B Avdulla | W Y So | 11 | 149.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | GLUCK RACER B H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 1 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | JOY FOR YOU H1 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 149.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | MR MAJESTIC B-/SR2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 63.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | HUGE WIN SR M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 65.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | EASY TWO TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 5 | 105.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | AESTHETICISM L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 25.6% | 3.91 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | MULTIDARLING | 15.7% | 6.39 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 12.2% | 8.22 | 8 |
| 4 | 10 | GLUCK RACER | 9.4% | 10.62 | 10 |
| 5 | 12 | TRUST ME | 7.9% | 12.70 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | HUGE WIN | 5.1% | 19.75 | 13 |
| 7 | 7 | SMART FIGHTER | 4.9% | 20.62 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | HERO ICON | 4.3% | 23.16 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO | 4.2% | 23.98 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | DAN ATTACK | 3.2% | 31.33 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | MR MAJESTIC | 2.8% | 35.78 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | JOY FOR YOU | 2.0% | 50.99 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | EASY TWO | 1.9% | 53.30 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | SOO FRESH | 1.1% | 90.98 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 30
PLACE
1 12.5
7 28.5
14 40.5
QUINELLA
1,14 205
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 43
1,14 70
7,14 189
FORECAST
1,14 468
TIERCE
1,14,7 2,833
TRIO
1,7,14 424
FIRST 4
1,7,9,14 882
QUARTET
1,14,7,9 17,781
全部彩池（另 4 項）
1ST TREBLE
7/4/1 1,456
7/4/14 1,900
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,7/1,7,14 118,634
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 24
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/1 400
4/14 432