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Sha Tin · 2023-05-28 · 14:31

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-28 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MODULECONSTRUCTION, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with HERO ICON second and SMART FIGHTER third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 MODULECONSTRUCTION TT 1.09.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 2 3.0 1/2
2 14 HERO ICON TT A Badel · K L Man 8 16.0 1/2
3 7 SMART FIGHTER K C Leung · P F Yiu 14 8.8 1-1/2
4 9 MULTIDARLING CP H Bowman · T P Yung 9 7.8 2-1/2
5 12 TRUST ME B/H/TT- Z Purton · C H Yip 13 7.8 3-1/4
6 3 REGENCY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 7 25.0 3-1/2
7 4 DAN ATTACK H1/TT L Ferraris · J Richards 3 4.9 4-1/2
8 5 CHAMPION INSTINCT M Dee · D J Hall 4 15.0 4-1/2
9 8 SOO FRESH TT B Avdulla · W Y So 11 149.0 4-3/4
10 10 GLUCK RACER B H Bentley · L Ho 1 11.0 6
11 6 JOY FOR YOU H1 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 12 149.0 6-3/4
12 2 MR MAJESTIC B-/SR2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 10 63.0 9-3/4
13 13 HUGE WIN SR M Chadwick · F C Lor 6 65.0 10-3/4
14 11 EASY TWO TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 5 105.0 11-1/2
0 AESTHETICISM L Ferraris · P C Ng

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MODULECONSTRUCTION2. HERO ICON+0.5L3. SMART FIGHTER+1.5L4. MULTIDARLING+2.5L5. TRUST ME+3.25L6. REGENCY BO BO+3.5L7. DAN ATTACK+4.5L8. CHAMPION INSTINCT+4.5L9. SOO FRESH+4.75L10. GLUCK RACER+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick MODULECONSTRUCTION (25.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 MODULECONSTRUCTION 25.6% 3.91 1
2 9 MULTIDARLING 15.7% 6.39 4
3 5 CHAMPION INSTINCT 12.2% 8.22 8
4 10 GLUCK RACER 9.4% 10.62 10
5 12 TRUST ME 7.9% 12.70 5
6 13 HUGE WIN 5.1% 19.75 13
7 7 SMART FIGHTER 4.9% 20.62 3
8 14 HERO ICON 4.3% 23.16 2
9 3 REGENCY BO BO 4.2% 23.98 6
10 4 DAN ATTACK 3.2% 31.33 7
11 2 MR MAJESTIC 2.8% 35.78 12
12 6 JOY FOR YOU 2.0% 50.99 11
13 11 EASY TWO 1.9% 53.30 14
14 8 SOO FRESH 1.1% 90.98 9
MODULECONSTRUCTION — wonMULTIDARLINGCHAMPION INSTINCTGLUCK RACERTRUST MEHUGE WINSMART FIGHTERHERO ICONREGENCY BO BODAN ATTACKMR MAJESTICJOY FOR YOUEASY TWOSOO FRESH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 30

PLACE

1 12.5

7 28.5

14 40.5

QUINELLA

1,14 205

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 43

1,14 70

7,14 189

FORECAST

1,14 468

TIERCE

1,14,7 2,833

TRIO

1,7,14 424

FIRST 4

1,7,9,14 882

QUARTET

1,14,7,9 17,781

All pools (4 more)

1ST TREBLE

7/4/1 1,456

7/4/14 1,900

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

4,6,7/1,7,14 118,634

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 24

A2

4TH DOUBLE

4/1 400

4/14 432