Sha Tin · 2023-05-28 · 17:18
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-28 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BUNDLE OF CHARM, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 1, with DANCING CODE second and SUPERB BOY third. The 2.2 favourite SUPREME LUCKY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM 1.09.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | DANCING CODE PC/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 3.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | SUPERB BOY TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPREME LUCKY H/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 2.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS TT1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | GOOD BUDDY H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 8 | 8.1 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | SOLID SHALAA M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 9 | 68.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MAYHEM H K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 99.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | ETERNAL BLOOM TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 4 | 38.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SHINING FORTUNE PC-/XB/B2 M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 10 | 55.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | FORTUNE WARRIOR CP/XB Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 12 | 153.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPREME LUCKY | 24.5% | 4.08 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | DANCING CODE | 24.4% | 4.10 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 10.3% | 9.70 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 9.4% | 10.66 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | GOOD BUDDY | 7.7% | 12.95 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR | 6.8% | 14.79 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | SHINING FORTUNE | 5.0% | 19.91 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | SUPERB BOY | 4.5% | 22.03 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | SOLID SHALAA | 2.4% | 41.39 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | MAYHEM | 2.2% | 44.99 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | ETERNAL BLOOM | 1.9% | 53.30 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 0.9% | 114.82 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 207.5
PLACE
3 39
5 14.5
6 49.5
QUINELLA
3,5 291.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 94
3,6 277.5
5,6 106
FORECAST
3,5 720
TIERCE
3,5,6 8,502
TRIO
3,5,6 1,415
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 448
QUARTET
3,5,6,1 18,886
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 61
A1 —
9TH DOUBLE
1/3 675.5
1/5 23.5